Subtitles for "Index" in English (masterlist)
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00:00:03:28 , 00:00:07:07 , This video is titled "How It All Ends: Index"
00:00:07:07 , 00:00:09:27 , and is a guide to a sort of "Expansion Pack" of videos
00:00:09:27 , 00:00:13:10 , backing up the arguments contained in the video "How It All Ends".
00:00:13:10 , 00:00:16:06 , Okay, here's a brief overview so you can see what you have in store for you—
00:00:16:06 , 00:00:17:17 , or at least what's available to you—
00:00:17:17 , 00:00:20:14 , in the expansion pack to the original video "How It All Ends".
00:00:20:14 , 00:00:24:11 , You're watching "Index", which gives an overview for the whole expansion pack.
00:00:24:11 , 00:00:27:00 , Then there's also a menu, which gives you specific lists
00:00:27:00 , 00:00:29:01 , of questions and objections that you can look up,
00:00:29:01 , 00:00:33:02 , and if that's what your interested in that tells you exactly which video to go to.
00:00:33:02 , 00:00:34:28 , Then these are grouped. We've got in one group:
00:00:34:28 , 00:00:38:18 , "Nature of Science", "Risk Management", "Why There is Still Debate", and "The Manpollo Project"
00:00:38:18 , 00:00:41:08 , which are sort of talking about the approach to the risk management
00:00:41:08 , 00:00:43:08 , and the uncertainty of science.
00:00:43:08 , 00:00:48:07 , And "The Manpollo Project" is intended to be a logjam breaker,
00:00:48:07 , 00:00:50:23 , to break the logjam of popular debate, guaranteed.
00:00:50:23 , 00:00:54:17 , Money back guarantee. Whatever you paid me I'll give you back if that doesn't work.
00:00:54:17 , 00:00:58:12 , Here we've got the "Mechanics of Global Climate Change" (GCC),
00:00:58:12 , 00:01:02:21 , "Scare Tactics", and "The Solution" talking about the technical aspects of climate change.
00:01:02:21 , 00:01:05:16 , "God's Will" which is just sort of a miscellaneous one there by itself.
00:01:05:16 , 00:01:08:14 , And then these three specifically for the hardcore skeptics:
00:01:08:14 , 00:01:11:18 , "Get What You Want", "I Hope I'm Wrong", and "No Holds Barred".
00:01:11:18 , 00:01:15:12 , Finally, "Your Mission" at the end which stems out of "The Solution" up here.
00:01:15:12 , 00:01:17:05 , Okay, so here's the plan.
00:01:17:05 , 00:01:20:04 , If you feel sort of middling about this issue, and have a specific question,
00:01:20:04 , 00:01:24:28 , you can choose which video to watch from the "a la carte" menu which I'll give to you in a minute.
00:01:24:28 , 00:01:27:10 , If you feel like I do and you already know you want to do
00:01:27:10 , 00:01:30:06 , whatever you can to make policy changes on climate change happen,
00:01:30:06 , 00:01:32:21 , then you'll probably want to watch all of these in this order,
00:01:32:21 , 00:01:35:01 , this is a decent order in which to watch them.
00:01:35:01 , 00:01:37:14 , And I know that sounds like a big time commitment,
00:01:37:14 , 00:01:40:04 , but if there's ever a time in your life to be thorough and thoughtful
00:01:40:04 , 00:01:42:21 , and take the time, it is now, with this issue.
00:01:42:21 , 00:01:45:20 , It's worth taking those few hours of your life to watch a few videos.
00:01:45:20 , 00:01:48:11 , Because we need as many information warriors out there as we can get—
00:01:48:11 , 00:01:52:19 , and I'll give you your specific mission down here in "Your Mission".
00:01:52:19 , 00:01:55:13 , If you're a skeptic you'll be looking for holes in my arguments,
00:01:55:13 , 00:01:57:26 , so you'll actually want to watch the whole sequence too,
00:01:57:26 , 00:02:01:08 , except for this one. Don't watch that one cuz that gives away our game plan.
00:02:01:08 , 00:02:03:12 , Aw, crap! Can we edit that out?
00:02:03:12 , 00:02:05:04 , If you're a skeptic, you'll be looking for holes,
00:02:05:04 , 00:02:06:26 , so you'll want to watch the whole sequence too,
00:02:06:26 , 00:02:09:17 , except for this one. That one is probably, um, not worth your time.
00:02:09:17 , 00:02:13:01 , In fact, skeptics, you'll probably want to watch all of these twice,
00:02:13:01 , 00:02:15:00 , because you don't want to end up making an assertion
00:02:15:00 , 00:02:17:25 , that someone else answers simply with "He already covered that."
00:02:17:25 , 00:02:19:25 , That would just be embarrassing. And be warned:
00:02:19:25 , 00:02:23:25 , if you try to dismiss my hours of complex and thorough argumentation
00:02:23:25 , 00:02:26:25 , with a simple "That's just typical liberal scaremongering"
00:02:26:25 , 00:02:29:02 , without specifically addressing my points,
00:02:29:02 , 00:02:31:27 , you'll have to forgive the rest of us if we interpret that as a concession,
00:02:31:27 , 00:02:34:18 , that you can't refute the argument, so you won't even try.
00:02:34:18 , 00:02:37:06 , In fact, I made these three just for you! You're welcome!
00:02:37:06 , 00:02:41:18 , Be aware, if you make "al a carte" choices from this, and are skipping around in these videos,
00:02:41:18 , 00:02:44:13 , things may get a little confusing because a lot of this is intertwined.
00:02:44:13 , 00:02:47:16 , So, if you jump in somewhere and you get a little bit confused
00:02:47:16 , 00:02:51:05 , or it doesn't make sense, go upstream to get the context.
00:02:51:05 , 00:03:12:26 , Going to remove this section because it is irrelevant to the DVD release (talks about the video being split into smaller parts)
00:03:12:26 , 00:03:15:28 , A little background: in the Spring of 2007,
00:03:15:28 , 00:03:18:11 , I presented the basic decision grid about climate change
00:03:18:11 , 00:03:21:26 , in a video titled "The Most Terrifying Video You'll Ever See".
00:03:21:26 , 00:03:25:08 , Within a month, it had garnered over a million hits on various websites,
00:03:25:08 , 00:03:28:06 , and at least 5,000 comments, most of them critical.
00:03:28:06 , 00:03:31:19 , Turns out, my "silver bullet" argument had a hole big enough to drive a Hummer through,
00:03:31:19 , 00:03:33:20 , caused by an assumption I didn't realize I had.
00:03:33:20 , 00:03:35:13 , (Isn't that just the way with assumptions?)
00:03:35:13 , 00:03:40:27 , As a result, I posted three more videos, titled "Patching Holes #1–3", answering those criticisms.
00:03:40:27 , 00:03:43:20 , Problem is, no one found those videos to watch them.
00:03:43:20 , 00:03:47:09 , Throughout that whole debate, I tracked the comments and discussions in various places,
00:03:47:09 , 00:03:50:00 , continuing reading and reading until it had been a long time since
00:03:50:00 , 00:03:53:12 , I'd read a new argument or criticism that I hadn't seen before.
00:03:53:12 , 00:03:57:12 , So, as a result, I am extremely familiar with the objections to my argument,
00:03:57:12 , 00:03:59:12 , and have come back, loaded for bear.
00:03:59:12 , 00:04:02:13 , Hence the hours and hours of expansion pack videos.
00:04:02:13 , 00:04:05:11 , So skeptics, I'm throwing down with you right now:
00:04:05:11 , 00:04:09:03 , I'm quite confident there is not a single reasonable criticism of my argument
00:04:09:03 , 00:04:13:09 , which I have not already anticipated and refuted in the expansion pack videos.
00:04:13:09 , 00:04:14:20 , How's that for a challenge?
00:04:14:20 , 00:04:17:05 , Actually, as I was editing the videos, I did find one assertion
00:04:17:05 , 00:04:19:06 , that I made that I realized had a hole in it.
00:04:19:06 , 00:04:21:07 , So I brought attention to it with a subtitle.
00:04:21:07 , 00:04:23:22 , Just another free service I provide to you, the viewer.
00:04:23:22 , 00:04:24:23 , Can you find it?
00:04:25:08 , 00:04:27:20 , As for those of you already sympathetic to the cause:
00:04:27:20 , 00:04:31:24 , if you see that the skeptics do find a hole, how about you take on the patching of it?
00:04:31:24 , 00:04:33:22 , Last go 'round a couple people had my back,
00:04:33:22 , 00:04:35:20 , but the comments were overwhelmingly negative,
00:04:35:20 , 00:04:38:08 , and I pretty much felt like it was me against the Internet.
00:04:38:08 , 00:04:40:02 , How about some warm fuzzies, too, people?
00:04:40:02 , 00:04:43:26 , Cuz I gotta tell you. I've been working non-stop on this freakin' project for 4 months,
00:04:43:26 , 00:04:46:08 , and it's time I got some sleep and got back to my family.
00:04:46:08 , 00:04:49:03 , So I'm passing the torch on to you. Run with it.
00:04:49:03 , 00:04:52:21 , For instance, if someone wants to make a better index than I'm about to give you,
00:04:52:21 , 00:04:56:19 , say one that goes down to the scale of which part of a video, please do.
00:04:56:19 , 00:05:00:08 , Post it as a response. Take this stuff, fix it up, pimp my argument.
00:05:00:08 , 00:05:03:15 , I've got no ownership of these ideas. I'm just trying to plant a seed here.
00:05:03:15 , 00:05:07:08 , Or a virus, more properly, but that's not nearly as pleasant an image, is it?
00:05:07:08 , 00:05:09:18 , In fact you, yes you right there,
00:05:09:18 , 00:05:11:26 , have my explicit permission to take this material
00:05:11:26 , 00:05:14:07 , and do anything you want with it in any form.
00:05:14:07 , 00:05:18:18 , Copy it, rip it, do a mash-up, turn it into a PowerPoint (take out the dirty parts first),
00:05:18:18 , 00:05:20:04 , turn it into a musical and go on tour,
00:05:20:04 , 00:05:22:19 , even remake it, claim it as your own work and get paid for it!
00:05:22:19 , 00:05:24:23 , I don't care. Just get it out there!
00:05:24:23 , 00:05:27:00 , I can't be the only champion for this reasoning.
00:05:27:00 , 00:05:29:01 , We've all got to be champions for it.
00:05:29:01 , 00:05:31:10 , Because that's what it will take to change the culture,
00:05:31:10 , 00:05:33:11 , which is what it will take to change the policies,
00:05:33:11 , 00:05:37:21 , which is what it will take to eliminate the possibility of that lower right-hand corner.
00:05:38:14 , 00:05:41:18 , Now I know I really drone on in a couple of the videos.
00:05:41:18 , 00:05:43:10 , Well, okay, more than a couple.
00:05:43:10 , 00:05:44:11 , Okay all.
00:05:44:11 , 00:05:46:26 , Look—I didn't have time to make them short and eloquent.
00:05:46:26 , 00:05:49:02 , So you get long and punishing instead.
00:05:49:02 , 00:05:50:13 , Sorry 'bout that, Chief.
00:05:50:13 , 00:05:52:15 , Anyway, all the ideas are there.
00:05:52:15 , 00:05:56:00 , Please look past the poor production values, the sleep-deprived slurred speech,
00:05:56:00 , 00:05:58:23 , the Red Bull–fueled stutters, and the repetition,
00:05:58:23 , 00:06:01:01 , the redundancy, the saying the same thing over and over again,
00:06:01:01 , 00:06:04:15 , where I just keep repeating myself, flogging a dead horse again and again and—
00:06:05:03 , 00:06:07:12 , I deferred answering most of the technical objections
00:06:07:12 , 00:06:09:08 , dealing with the science of global climate change,
00:06:09:08 , 00:06:11:12 , cuz they're already covered most excellently on
00:06:11:12 , 00:06:14:07 , Grist.com's "How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic".
00:06:14:07 , 00:06:17:11 , So check there for answers to any technical objections you don't see me cover.
00:06:17:11 , 00:06:19:06 , No need to reinvent the wheel.
00:06:19:17 , 00:06:22:09 , At its heart, this is a deadly serious issue.
00:06:22:09 , 00:06:24:24 , But, in an effort to not take myself too seriously,
00:06:24:24 , 00:06:27:17 , and to try to bring a little levity to an often angry debate,
00:06:27:17 , 00:06:30:02 , I'm going to wear a different silly hat for each video.
00:06:40:04 , 00:06:42:27 , I finally realized why I get so frustrated with people in discussions
00:06:42:27 , 00:06:45:02 , when they keep bringing up technical little objections
00:06:45:02 , 00:06:48:21 , to the science of global climate change in the face of AAAS and NAS statements,
00:06:48:21 , 00:06:50:23 , or when they get abrasive about how none of the
00:06:50:23 , 00:06:52:26 , proposed solutions is ever going to work.
00:06:52:26 , 00:06:54:29 , Here's my objection to all the nit-picking:
00:06:54:29 , 00:06:57:29 , who the heck are you or I to judge either the fitness of the science,
00:06:57:29 , 00:07:00:02 , or the fitness of the policy solutions?
00:07:00:02 , 00:07:02:26 , I'm no climate scientist. And I'm no policy maker.
00:07:02:26 , 00:07:05:11 , It's foolish for me to try to act like either one of those.
00:07:05:11 , 00:07:08:10 , That's why we hire the professionals in both of those fields.
00:07:08:10 , 00:07:11:26 , What you and I are qualified to do is to set the agenda,
00:07:11:26 , 00:07:14:05 , delegate, and then supervise.
00:07:14:05 , 00:07:18:25 , We're the boss, and we hire the experts to do the technical stuff for us.
00:07:18:25 , 00:07:22:23 , What we should be doing is taking what the scientists tell us about the natural world,
00:07:22:23 , 00:07:25:20 , decide what level of resources to devote to the problem,
00:07:25:20 , 00:07:29:17 , and then delegate to the policy makers to come up with the best proposed solutions.
00:07:29:17 , 00:07:32:13 , Then they check it off with us by giving us the executive summary,
00:07:32:13 , 00:07:35:07 , we make the final decision, and give them the green light.
00:07:35:07 , 00:07:37:09 , Why the heck are we micromanaging this?
00:07:37:09 , 00:07:41:04 , We're only hurting ourselves by trying to do the jobs of the experts that we've hired.
00:07:41:04 , 00:07:44:14 , Let's start acting like the executives of public policy that we should be:
00:07:44:14 , 00:07:46:15 , listen to our best when they give us an assessment,
00:07:46:15 , 00:07:49:10 , and then delegate to our best in coming up with solutions,
00:07:49:10 , 00:07:53:09 , supervising all the while to ensure our interests are well-served.
00:07:53:09 , 00:07:56:02 , Let's stop being the pointy–haired boss in this whole thing.
00:07:56:02 , 00:07:59:13 , Let's face it: the issue is complex, and our lives are busy.
00:07:59:13 , 00:08:04:02 , And so here we sit in column B, waiting to see what the future holds.
00:08:04:02 , 00:08:05:23 , I find that terrifying.
00:08:06:04 , 00:08:08:17 , Remember when everybody tore into the FBI because it had
00:08:08:17 , 00:08:12:08 , all the information it needed to stop the September 11th attacks at the time,
00:08:12:08 , 00:08:14:06 , but it didn't connect the dots?
00:08:14:06 , 00:08:17:10 , The dots that were so easy for us to connect in hindsight?
00:08:17:10 , 00:08:19:04 , I think about that a lot now.
00:08:19:04 , 00:08:21:06 , Why don't we see if the dots connect now?
00:08:21:06 , 00:08:23:07 , Instead of doing it in hindsight.
00:08:23:07 , 00:08:25:11 , Don't we deserve that much?
00:08:25:11 , 00:08:27:26 , I know watching these videos is going to be a slog—
00:08:27:26 , 00:08:29:21 , think about how I felt making them—
00:08:29:21 , 00:08:32:17 , but this may be the single most important issue in your life.
00:08:32:17 , 00:08:34:00 , You may not believe that now,
00:08:34:00 , 00:08:38:03 , but given the unequivocal statements made by the best scientists on the planet,
00:08:38:03 , 00:08:41:16 , you can't just dismiss the possibility.
00:08:41:16 , 00:08:44:02 , Isn't it worth a little more time to figure that out?
00:08:44:28 , 00:08:48:04 , This is the most credible, most clear and pressing threat
00:08:48:04 , 00:08:50:17 , on a global scale in the history of humanity,
00:08:50:17 , 00:08:55:28 , with the sole exception of being on the brink of global nuclear war during the Cuban Missile crisis.
00:08:55:28 , 00:08:58:27 , But this time, you—as an individual citizen—
00:08:58:27 , 00:09:01:29 , not only know about it, but you play a necessary part.
00:09:01:29 , 00:09:03:29 , You can help prevent it.
00:09:03:29 , 00:09:06:30 , If there's ever a time in your life, in our history,
00:09:06:30 , 00:09:13:01 , to be thorough and deliberate, conscientious and unselfish, determined and extraordinary,
00:09:13:01 , 00:09:16:11 , wouldn't it be right now? At this moment?
00:09:16:25 , 00:09:19:27 , So. What do you do next?
00:09:20:16 , 00:09:23:11 , It's time for the best in us to come out.
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